Interacting Particle Systems for the Computation of CDO Tranche Spreads with Rare Defaults

نویسندگان

  • Douglas Vestal
  • René Carmona
  • Jean-Pierre Fouque
چکیده

We propose an Interacting Particle System method to accurately calculate the distribution of the losses in a highly dimensional portfolio by using a selection and mutation algorithm. We demonstrate the efficiency of this method for computing rare default probabilities on a toy model for which we have explicit formulas. This method has the advantage of accurately computing small probabilities without requiring the user to compute a change of measure as in the Importance Sampling method. This method will be useful for computing the senior tranche spreads in Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs).

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Recovering portfolio default intensities implied by CDO quotes

We propose a stable non-parametric algorithm for the calibration of pricing models for portfolio credit derivatives: given a set of observations of market spreads for CDO tranches, we construct a risk-neutral default intensity process for the portfolio underlying the CDO which matches these observations, by looking for the risk neutral loss process ’closest’ to a prior loss process, verifying t...

متن کامل

Default Contagion in Large Homogeneous Portfolios

Abstract. We study default contagion in large homogeneous credit portfolios. Using data from the iTraxx Europe series, two synthetic CDO portfolios are calibrated against their tranche spreads, index CDS spreads and average CDS spreads, all with five year maturity. After the calibrations, which render perfect fits, we investigate the implied expected ordered defaults times, implied default corr...

متن کامل

Factor Distributions Implied by Quoted Cdo Spreads and Tranche Pricing

The rapid pace of innovation in the market for credit risk has given rise to a liquid market in synthetic collateralised debt obligation (CDO) tranches on standardised portfolios. To the extent that tranche spreads depend on default dependence between different obligors in the reference portfolio, quoted spreads can be seen as aggregating the market views on this dependence. In a manner reminis...

متن کامل

Pricing and Hedging of Cdo-squared Tranches by Using a One Factor Lévy Model

This paper provides a comparison of the exponential copula Lévy model with the classical Gaussian copula model for the pricing of CDO-squared tranches. Several approximations of the recursive approach are considered: a full Monte Carlo approximation, a multivariate Normal approximation of the joint inner CDO loss distribution and a multivariate Poisson approximation of the joint number of defau...

متن کامل

Pricing & Risk Management of Synthetic CDOs

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the risks of synthetic CDO structures and their sensitivity to model parameters. In order to measure these sensitivities, I also introduce the latest techniques in the pricing and risk management of synthetic CDOs. I show how to model the conditional and unconditional default distributions of a typical synthetic deal using a simple mathematical framework....

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2008